AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

AGI will take another 3 decades

0:00

Even reasoning models lack animal intelligence

22:27

Intelligence explosion

45:04

Ege & Tamay’s story

1:00:57

Explosive economic growth

1:06:24

Will there be a separate AI economy?

1:33:00

Can we predictably influence the future?

1:47:08

Arms race dynamic

2:19:48

Is superintelligence a real thing?

2:29:48

Reasons not to expect explosive growth

2:35:45

Fully automated firms

2:49:00

Will central planning work after AGI?

2:54:43

Career advice

2:58:20