Episode #22 from 2:29
Predicting the future
People
Topics
Introduction
0:00
2:29
Getting Accurate Information
5:16
Potentials
6:20
Not using internal prediction markets
9:29
Doing the painful thing
11:04
Decision Making Process
13:31
Grugett’s opinion about insider trading
14:52
The Role of prediction market
16:23
Dealing with the Speculators
18:17
Criticism of Prediction Markets
20:33
The world when people cared about prediction markets
22:24
Grugett’s Profile Background/Experience
26:10
User Result Market
28:49
The most important mechanism
30:17
The 1000 manifold dollars
32:59
Efficient financial markets
40:30
Manifold Markets Job/Career Openings
46:28
Objectives of Manifold Markets
48:02