The world when people cared about prediction markets

Introduction

0:00

Predicting the future

2:29

Getting Accurate Information

5:16

Potentials

6:20

Not using internal prediction markets

9:29

Doing the painful thing

11:04

Decision Making Process

13:31

Grugett’s opinion about insider trading

14:52

The Role of prediction market

16:23

Dealing with the Speculators

18:17

Criticism of Prediction Markets

20:33

Grugett’s Profile Background/Experience

26:10

User Result Market

28:49

The most important mechanism

30:17

The 1000 manifold dollars

32:59

Efficient financial markets

40:30

Manifold Markets Job/Career Openings

46:28

Objectives of Manifold Markets

48:02